| Consumer Price Index (All Items) | CPIAUCSL | Inflation | 330.293000 | Index 1982-84=100 | 2026-03-01 | 327.460000 | 2.833000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL | Headline CPI. Measures average change in prices paid by urban consumers for goods and services. Key measure of inflation. | |
| Core CPI (Ex Food & Energy) | CPILFESL | Inflation | 334.165000 | Index 1982-84=100 | 2026-03-01 | 333.512000 | 0.653000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPILFESL | CPI excluding volatile food and energy components. Fed prefers this as a cleaner inflation signal. | |
| PCE Price Index (Fed Target) | PCEPI | Inflation | 129.449000 | Index 2017=100 | 2026-02-01 | 128.965000 | 0.484000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PCEPI | Personal Consumption Expenditures price index. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge with a 2% target. | |
| Federal Funds Effective Rate | FEDFUNDS | Interest Rates | 3.640000 | Percent | 2026-03-01 | 3.640000 | 0.000000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS | The interest rate at which banks lend reserves to each other overnight. Primary tool of monetary policy. | |
| 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity | DGS10 | Interest Rates | 4.290000 | Percent | 2026-04-09 | 4.290000 | 0.000000 | Daily | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 | Yield on 10-year US Treasury. Benchmark for mortgage rates and long-term borrowing costs. | |
| 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity | DGS2 | Interest Rates | 3.780000 | Percent | 2026-04-09 | 3.790000 | -0.010000 | Daily | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS2 | 2-year Treasury yield. When this exceeds the 10-year (inverted yield curve), it often signals recession risk. | |
| Unemployment Rate | UNRATE | Employment | 4.300000 | Percent | 2026-03-01 | 4.400000 | -0.100000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE | Percentage of labor force without work and actively seeking. Key measure of labor market health. | |
| Nonfarm Payrolls (Monthly Change) | PAYEMS | Employment | 158637.000000 | Thousands of persons | 2026-03-01 | 158459.000000 | 178.000000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PAYEMS | Total number of paid US workers excluding farm, government, private households. Most-watched employment report. | |
| Real GDP Growth Rate (Annualized) | A191RL1Q225SBEA | GDP & Growth | 0.500000 | Percent Change | 2025-10-01 | 4.400000 | -3.900000 | Quarterly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A191RL1Q225SBEA | Quarter-over-quarter annualized growth rate of real GDP. Two consecutive negative quarters = technical recession. | |
| Consumer Sentiment (U of Michigan) | UMCSENT | Consumer | 56.600000 | Index 1966:Q1=100 | 2026-02-01 | 56.400000 | 0.200000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UMCSENT | University of Michigan survey of consumer attitudes on current and future economic conditions. Leading indicator for spending. | |
| Housing Starts (Total) | HOUST | Housing | 1487.000000 | Thousands of units, SAAR | 2026-01-01 | 1387.000000 | 100.000000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/HOUST | Number of new residential construction projects begun. Leading indicator for construction employment and economic activity. | |
| Existing Home Sales | EXHOSLUSM495S | Housing | 3980000.000000 | Millions, SAAR | 2026-03-01 | 4130000.000000 | -150000.000000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EXHOSLUSM495S | Number of previously owned homes sold. Reflects mortgage affordability, inventory and buyer demand. | |
| 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate | MORTGAGE30US | Housing | 6.370000 | Percent | 2026-04-09 | 6.460000 | -0.090000 | Weekly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US | Freddie Mac average 30-year fixed rate. Direct driver of home affordability and housing demand. | |
| M2 Money Supply | M2SL | Credit & Money | 22667.300000 | Billions of dollars | 2026-02-01 | 22469.100000 | 198.200000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL | Broad money supply including cash, checking deposits and savings accounts. Tracks monetary policy effects. | |
| Credit Card Delinquency Rate | DRCCLACBS | Credit & Money | 2.940000 | Percent | 2025-10-01 | 2.980000 | -0.040000 | Quarterly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DRCCLACBS | Share of credit card balances 30+ days past due at commercial banks. Rising delinquencies signal consumer stress. | |
| Initial Jobless Claims | ICSA | Employment | 219000.000000 | Persons | 2026-04-04 | 203000.000000 | 16000.000000 | Weekly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ICSA | New weekly unemployment insurance claims. One of the most timely leading indicators of labor market conditions. | |
| ISM Manufacturing PMI | MANEMP | Leading Indicators | 12591.000000 | Index (>50=expansion) | 2026-03-01 | 12576.000000 | 15.000000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MANEMP | Purchasing managers index for manufacturing. Above 50 = expansion. One of the oldest and most reliable leading indicators. | |
| Retail Sales (Ex Auto & Gas) | RSXFS | Consumer | 638224.000000 | Millions of dollars | 2026-02-01 | 634233.000000 | 3991.000000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RSXFS | Retail and food service sales excluding autos. Core consumer spending barometer representing 70% of GDP. | |
| Trade Balance (Goods & Services) | BOPGSTB | Trade | -57347.000000 | Millions of dollars | 2026-02-01 | -54677.000000 | -2670.000000 | Monthly | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/BOPGSTB | Difference between US exports and imports. Negative = trade deficit. Reflects global competitiveness and dollar strength. | |
| CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) | VIXCLS | Leading Indicators | 19.230000 | Index | 2026-04-10 | 19.490000 | -0.260000 | Daily | | https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/VIXCLS | Market's expectation of 30-day volatility. Called the fear gauge. Above 30 signals high uncertainty; below 20 = calm. | |